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The World Bank Research Observer Advance Access originally published online on August 9, 2006
The World Bank Research Observer 2006 21(2):151-178; doi:10.1093/wbro/lkl005
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© The Author 2006. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / THE WORLD BANK. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org.

Macroeconomic Stability in Developing Countries: How Much Is Enough?

Peter Montiel and Luis Servén

Peter Montiel is a Professor of Economics at Williams College; his email address is peter.j.montiel{at}williams.edu. Luis Servén is Research Manager for Macroeconomics and Growth in the Development Research Group of the World Bank; his email address is lserven{at}worldbank.org.

Over the 1990s macroeconomic policies improved in most developing countries, but the growth dividend from this improvement fell short of expectations, and a policy agenda focused on stability turned out to be associated with a multiplicity of financial crises. This article examines the contents and implementation of the macroeconomic reform agenda of the 1990s. It reviews the progress achieved through fiscal, monetary, and exchange rate policies across the developing world and the effectiveness of the changing policy framework in promoting stability and growth. The main lesson is that more often than not slow growth and frequent crises resulted from shortcomings in the reform agenda of the 1990s. These concern limitations in the depth and scope of the reform agenda, its lack of attention to macroeconomic vulnerabilities, and its inadequate attention to complementary reforms outside the macroeconomic sphere.


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