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The World Bank Research Observer Advance Access published online on August 9, 2006

The World Bank Research Observer, doi:10.1093/wbro/lkl005
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© The Author 2006. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / THE WORLD BANK. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org

Article

Macroeconomic Stability in Developing Countries: How Much Is Enough?

Peter Montiel 1 * and Luis Servén 2

1 Professor of Economics at Williams College
2 Research Manager for Macroeconomics and Growth in the Development

* To whom correspondence should be addressed.
Peter Montiel, E-mail: peter.j.montiel{at}williams.edu


   Abstract

Over the 1990s macroeconomic policies improved in most developing countries, but the growth dividend from this improvement fell short of expectations, and a policy agenda focused on stability turned out to be associated with a multiplicity of financial crises. This article examines the contents and implementation of the macroeconomic reform agenda of the 1990s. It reviews the progress achieved through fiscal, monetary, and exchange rate policies across the developing world and the effectiveness of the changing policy framework in promoting stability and growth. The main lesson is that more often than not slow growth and frequent crises resulted from shortcomings in the reform agenda of the 1990s. These concern limitations in the depth and scope of the reform agenda, its lack of attention to macroeconomic vulnerabilities, and its inadequate attention to complementary reforms outside the macroeconomic sphere.


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